Holy Crap, Republicans in the NCGA Are Unpopular | News
News
INDY Week's news blog

Archives | RSS

Friday, May 26, 2017

Holy Crap, Republicans in the NCGA Are Unpopular

Posted by on Fri, May 26, 2017 at 2:38 PM

If you’re a Republican in North Carolina, this poll might freak you out a little.

Commissioned by the conservative Civitas Institute—and despite appearing to have a fairly conservative sample (e.g., 50 percent of respondents still support an amendment to ban same-sex marriage, and 68 percent support voter ID)—the survey of six hundred registered North Carolina voters finds that Governor Cooper is pretty popular (61 percent approve, 24 percent don’t) and Donald Trump isn’t (42/53). In addition, almost twice as many believe Cooper cares more about them than GOP legislators.

But that’s not the part that should worry the NCGOP. This is.

click to enlarge screen_shot_2017-05-26_at_1.19.52_pm.png

In a generic legislative ballot, 47 percent said they would vote for a Democrat, to just 32 percent who said they would vote for the Republican—a fifteen-point margin. And look at the change: it was four points a month ago. If that margin is anything like that come election time—a ginormous if, granted—the GOP could be in for a world of hurt.

As Democratic political consultant Thomas Mills, who gave a polling presentation for Civitas this week, explains on his website:
To put those numbers into perspective, that’s the largest spread the poll has ever recorded. The last time it was even close to as wide was October 2010, when Republicans held a seven-point advantage just ahead of their wave election that gave them control of both chambers of the legislature. This poll could be an outlier, but if this is the beginning of a trend, the GOP should be running for cover.
It could indeed be an outlier. It could also be a blip. The Republicans have had a bad run of news cycles, with the Russia scandal boiling over and the health care mess and Trump’s unpopularity weighing them down. That could change, and quickly.

And even if those numbers are real and hold up, the Republican gerrymander could make it difficult for Democrats to overcome the GOP majority in 2018—though it might perhaps be enough to crack the supermajority, which would at least allow Cooper’s veto to mean something.

Tags: , , , , , ,

Pin It

Comments

Subscribe to this thread:

Add a comment

INDY Week publishes all kinds of comments, but we don't publish everything.

  • Comments that are not contributing to the conversation will be removed.
  • Comments that include ad hominem attacks will also be removed.
  • Please do not copy and paste the full text of a press release.

Permitted HTML:
  • To create paragraphs in your comment, type <p> at the start of a paragraph and </p> at the end of each paragraph.
  • To create bold text, type <b>bolded text</b> (please note the closing tag, </b>).
  • To create italicized text, type <i>italicized text</i> (please note the closing tag, </i>).
  • Proper web addresses will automatically become links.

Latest in News



Twitter Activity

Comments

Sounds like hitting the accelerator on gentrification and push out. More hand outs for developers.

by M 1 on The Opportunity Zone Tax Incentive Is Supposed to Help Distressed Areas. See Which Parts of Durham Are Up for It. (News)

Capstone Fellows are part of http://WomenNC.org, a 501c3 non-profit. They do not appear to be UNC Fellowships …

by Harris Tweed on Women of Color Are "Particularly Burdened" by Gentrification in Durham (News)

Most Recent Comments

Sounds like hitting the accelerator on gentrification and push out. More hand outs for developers.

by M 1 on The Opportunity Zone Tax Incentive Is Supposed to Help Distressed Areas. See Which Parts of Durham Are Up for It. (News)

Capstone Fellows are part of http://WomenNC.org, a 501c3 non-profit. They do not appear to be UNC Fellowships …

by Harris Tweed on Women of Color Are "Particularly Burdened" by Gentrification in Durham (News)

You might want to check your reporting here. Council actually approved 6 of 8 affordable housing projects at this week's …

by FONCitizen on The Raleigh City Council Punts on Affordable Housing Decisions and I AM SHOCKED (News)

Very thorough coverage. Agree with the previous commenter - thank you!!

by elladavis on Responding to Activists, the Durham City Council Rejects Police Exchanges With Israel (News)

© 2018 Indy Week • 320 E. Chapel Hill St., Suite 200, Durham, NC 27701 • phone 919-286-1972 • fax 919-286-4274
RSS Feeds | Powered by Foundation