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Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Will NC become a swing state?

Posted by on Tue, Sep 2, 2008 at 11:35 AM

North Carolina not only has the potential to turn blue this year, it could become a permanent swing state, thanks to the influx of new residents who are far more likely to identify as independents and vote Democratic. That's the conclusion of a new report by Public Policy Polling, a Raleigh firm. (A PDF version of the report is here.)

"There's a long tradition in North Carolina politics of registered Democrats voting Republican, especially in federal races," Tom Jensen writes in the report.

That explains why Obama is polling higher among non-natives, even though that group is less likely to register as Democrats. Those newcomers who are Dems are more likely to vote like it -- check out the numbers.

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