Eliza Liapunov | Indy Week

Eliza Liapunov 
Member since Dec 15, 2015



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Re: “Orange County Judge Allen Baddour: Sex offenders can visit public libraries

Moral panic over this issue has created a witch hunt and an inquisition against sex offenders. This not only causes far more harm to those labeled as sex offenders (beyond what is reasonable for their actual crime) it causes severe harm to others close to sex offenders, for example, to the hundreds of thousands of children of sex offenders. It also greatly weakens the constitution of the United States which threatens the freedoms of every US citizen.

Despite what anyone claims about sex offender recidivism, it is very low, it rapidly decreases to even lower level after several years of not re-offending and these values had been pretty much the same since prior to the huge number of convoluted and unconstitutional sex offenders laws that have been made. You can find a book which proves this beyond a shadow of a doubt at http://www.amazon.com/Offender-Recidivism-Time-Commit-Crime/dp/1515177335. In brief it proves:

Most Likely Case Recidivism : Error Margin : Time Period
4.00% : (-2.66%; +6.00%) : from time of release thru end of life
2.55% : (-2.16%; +5.16%) : after 1 year of no new sex crime thru end of life
1.63% : (-1.51%; +4.32%) : after 2 years of no new sex crime thru end of life
1.04% : (-1.00%; +3.55%) : after 3 years of no new sex crime thru end of life
0.66% : (-0.65%; +2.87%) : after 4 years of no new sex crime thru end of life
0.42% : (-0.42%; +2.30%) : after 5 years of no new sex crime thru end of life
0.27% : (-0.27%; +1.83%) : after 6 years of no new sex crime thru end of life

I have an analysis of dozens of studies from 7 different states covering 56,006 released sex offenders and their recidivism for new sex crimes. Pick one of the seven states and let us examine the results in detail: Ohio (8.3%), Arizona (3.25%), Minnesota (10%), California (three studies 3.35%, 4.05% and when technical offenses were removed 1.34%), Washington (3.72%), Maine (5.10%), New York (2.10% which takes into account 25 studies).

Or we could discuss reports from other states or sources, like Colorado (2.61%), Connecticut (2.7%), Indiana (1.05%), Iowa (3.23%), Tennessee (3.5% rapists & 4.7% statutory rapists), Michigan (2.5%), Australian Broadhurst and Maller Study 1992 (8.4%), Australian Broadhurst and Loh Study 1997 (9.4%), Florida Levenson & Shields 2012 (5.2% & 13.7%), Virginia 2005 (8.17% & 3.6%).

Virtually all of the sex offender laws have been based upon deliberate lies by Moral Entrepreneurs in order to gain political or other benefit by falsely stating the recidivism values are high when in fact they are extremely low. That makes virtually all sex offender laws Unconstitutional, because the create severe punishments upon USA Citizens based upon lies and falsehoods.

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Posted by Eliza Liapunov on 12/15/2015 at 11:37 AM

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