PPP on U.S. Senate race: Burr's ahead, but not by much | Citizen
Citizen
INDY Week columnist Bob Geary's Raleigh news & politics blog

Archives | RSS

Tuesday, July 6, 2010

PPP on U.S. Senate race: Burr's ahead, but not by much

Posted by on Tue, Jul 6, 2010 at 3:14 PM

Sen. Richard Burr, R-NC
  • Sen. Richard Burr, R-NC
Right after her runoff primary victory, Democratic challenger Elaine Marshall was running even with Sen. Richard Burr, the Republican, in one poll and was 10 points behind him in another (done for WRAL). Now, a Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey shows Burr 5 points ahead, but with only 38 percent of likely voters saying they're for him. The Libertarian candidate, Michael Beitler, was the choice of 10 percent, with Marshall getting 33 percent.

According to PPP, Beitler's biting into Marshall as much or more than he's biting Burr:

Burr's at 38% to 33% for Marshall and a surprising 10% for Libertarian Michael Beitler. Beitler's running basically even with Burr and Marshall among independents, getting 26% to 29% for the Democratic challenger and 27% for the Republican incumbent. Contrary to conventional wisdom about where Libertarian candidates get their support from Beitler is actually pulling 7% of Democrats to just 4% of Republicans. Beitler may be doing well with conservative Democrats who don't want to give Barack Obama another vote in the Senate but who don't much care for Burr either.

The punditry has stated time and again that one reason the 2010 North Carolina Senate race won't be a repeat of the 2008 contest is that Burr has been much more visible than Dole was, but someone forgot to tell the voters that. 41% of North Carolinians think that Dole was more visible as a Senator than Burr has been to 32% who think Burr has been more visible, and 27% with no opinion. The feeling that Dole was more visible is held by Democrats, Republicans, and independents alike.

Burr's relatively anonymity for an incumbent Senator can be seen in his approval numbers. 28% of voters still have no opinion of him, with those who do splitting negatively. 34% like the job he's doing while 39% disapprove.

Marshall is still pretty unknown too despite 14 years in statewide office and a recently completed campaign to secure her party's nomination. 58% of voters have no opinion about her with 22% seeing her favorably and 20% unfavorably.

PPP notes that, at this stage in the '08 Senate race, Republican incumbent Elizabeth Dole led Democratic challenger Kay Hagen by 14 points — and Hagan won.

Bottom line: Burr's no shoo-in, and Marshall's upside potential is good.

Tags: , , ,

Pin It

Comments

Subscribe to this thread:

Add a comment

INDY Week publishes all kinds of comments, but we don't publish everything.

  • Comments that are not contributing to the conversation will be removed.
  • Comments that include ad hominem attacks will also be removed.
  • Please do not copy and paste the full text of a press release.

Permitted HTML:
  • To create paragraphs in your comment, type <p> at the start of a paragraph and </p> at the end of each paragraph.
  • To create bold text, type <b>bolded text</b> (please note the closing tag, </b>).
  • To create italicized text, type <i>italicized text</i> (please note the closing tag, </i>).
  • Proper web addresses will automatically become links.

Latest in Citizen



Twitter Activity

Most Recent Comments

Trying to make some sense of the TPP. All you need to know it´s that while we are busy with …

by jsanchez on Fast-track trade for the TPP: David Price says — No. (With an *) Plus, an afternoon update … (Citizen)

If you or someone you know was forced out of the poker/sweepstakes business or lost their job, because this dirty …

by Constitution for games on Sweepstakes gambling on the way out in NC? (Citizen)

To those think it is addictive and a problem are the ones sounds like had the problems and not winning. …

by nickie on Sweepstakes gambling on the way out in NC? (Citizen)

You know...to those who dislike the gaming rooms..whether you have played in one or not...it is your chose to play …

by ThisWorld on Sweepstakes gambling on the way out in NC? (Citizen)

Of course you can't give airtime to fringe conspiracy theorists, flat earthers, etc! People who can take a voluntary blessing …

by Michael Czeiszperger on In Raleigh: Hitler used ovens, Obama will use hospice to kill people like me. (Citizen)

Comments

Trying to make some sense of the TPP. All you need to know it´s that while we are busy with …

by jsanchez on Fast-track trade for the TPP: David Price says — No. (With an *) Plus, an afternoon update … (Citizen)

If you or someone you know was forced out of the poker/sweepstakes business or lost their job, because this dirty …

by Constitution for games on Sweepstakes gambling on the way out in NC? (Citizen)

Most Read

No recently-read stories.

Visit the archives…

© 2016 Indy Week • 201 W. Main St., Suite 101, Durham, NC 27701 • phone 919-286-1972 • fax 919-286-4274
RSS Feeds | Powered by Foundation